Ambush!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 15
Defender wins (Partisan): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1036 | 1010 | 54% | 2022-08-10 | Won |
1056 | 929 | 68% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
1056 | 929 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
964 | 1017 | 42% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2015-04-16 | Won |
1059 | 942 | 66% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
944 | 1094 | 30% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
1228 | 1012 | 78% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1109 | 841 | 82% | 2013-11-26 | Won |
1003 | 977 | 54% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-10 | Won |
1003 | 985 | 53% | 2010-03-27 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2009-10-16 | Lost |
985 | 989 | 49% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
961 | 1003 | 44% | 2008-07-18 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
891 | 1078 | 25% | 2005-01-19 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2004-02-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-01-29 | Won |
1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2001-09-25 | Lost |
865 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
943 | 1138 | 25% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 1991-04-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1003.4 vs 1020 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).