The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (26 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 68
Defender wins (German): 93
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 976 | 47% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
957 | 917 | 56% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1156 | 48% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
973 | 1204 | 21% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
966 | 1010 | 44% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
933 | 989 | 42% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
952 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
1175 | 1109 | 59% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
961 | 1010 | 43% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
1062 | 1028 | 55% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
1063 | 1053 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1036 has a 47.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).