The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 18
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
894 | 941 | 43% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
955 | 976 | 47% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
947 | 935 | 52% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
825 | 896 | 40% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
1142 | 1104 | 55% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
973 | 1014 | 44% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
1009 | 1018 | 49% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
875 | 825 | 57% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
965 | 934 | 54% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
1012 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
933 | 1000 | 40% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
952 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
1174 | 1081 | 63% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
989 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
961 | 934 | 54% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
1103 | 980 | 67% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
1047 | 1028 | 53% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
990 | 995 | 49% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
1057 | 1053 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 996.3 has a 51.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).