Kurhaus Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (17 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 97
Defender wins (American): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2022-11-26 | | Won |
| 973 | 1134 | 28% | 2021-06-03 | | Lost |
| 921 | 961 | 44% | 2020-04-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2019-10-13 | | Won |
| 930 | 987 | 42% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2017-11-17 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-11-13 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-11-06 | | Won |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2016-02-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2015-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 955 | 74% | 2013-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1093 | 37% | 2011-03-23 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-09-09 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2004-11-11 | | Won |
| 832 | 1152 | 14% | 2003-03-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 1993-03-05 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 992.4 vs 1050.4 has a 41.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).