No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
875 | 969 | 37% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
977 | 979 | 50% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
862 | 882 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
969 | 1020 | 43% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
1018 | 966 | 57% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
1000 | 991 | 51% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
1035 | 1100 | 41% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
1055 | 1110 | 42% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
1055 | 954 | 64% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1110 | 1163 | 42% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
964 | 1066 | 36% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
1135 | 1034 | 64% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
1046 | 1068 | 47% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
854 | 1087 | 21% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 1027.5 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).