Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (30 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German (SS)): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
1187 | 1119 | 60% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1187 | 1019 | 72% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
965 | 969 | 49% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
909 | 966 | 42% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
1056 | 1163 | 35% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
1031 | 969 | 59% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
1284 | 962 | 86% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
992 | 967 | 54% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1239 | 1228 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1010 | 963 | 57% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
1249 | 1110 | 69% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
1110 | 985 | 67% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
1055 | 974 | 61% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
951 | 1051 | 36% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
1093 | 944 | 70% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
1107 | 1093 | 52% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
836 | 933 | 36% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1228 | 1090 | 69% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
960 | 964 | 49% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
969 | 830 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
1028 | 933 | 63% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
1087 | 1076 | 52% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
1000 | 1102 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1026.8 has a 54.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).