Mila 18
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 278 (56 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 148
Defender wins (Partisan (ZOB)): 129
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2024-08-06 | Won |
981 | 1055 | 40% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
977 | 979 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
1110 | 962 | 70% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1221 | 1015 | 77% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
1187 | 1019 | 72% | 2021-06-01 | Won |
965 | 969 | 49% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
930 | 1163 | 21% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
1163 | 930 | 79% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
1138 | 969 | 73% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
969 | 1186 | 22% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
969 | 1032 | 41% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
980 | 933 | 57% | 2019-01-10 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1110 | 955 | 71% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1110 | 894 | 78% | 2017-03-16 | Won |
969 | 954 | 52% | 2017-02-14 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-04-26 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
847 | 834 | 52% | 2015-10-18 | Lost |
990 | 1110 | 33% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
1069 | 969 | 64% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1010 | 983 | 54% | 2015-04-11 | Won |
1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
1158 | 1084 | 60% | 2014-07-10 | Won |
964 | 927 | 55% | 2014-04-13 | Lost |
960 | 964 | 49% | 2014-02-02 | Lost |
970 | 977 | 49% | 2013-08-18 | Tied |
1073 | 1110 | 45% | 2013-07-05 | Lost |
1110 | 1073 | 55% | 2013-07-03 | Won |
900 | 944 | 44% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2012-10-24 | Won |
1013 | 919 | 63% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
998 | 1187 | 25% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
1123 | 1019 | 65% | 2012-07-14 | Lost |
925 | 1067 | 31% | 2012-04-23 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
944 | 1093 | 30% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
1047 | 841 | 77% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
1138 | 945 | 75% | 2009-01-17 | Lost |
960 | 964 | 49% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-22 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-05-18 | Won |
997 | 862 | 69% | 2005-04-20 | Lost |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2004-11-16 | Lost |
1015 | 889 | 67% | 2004-11-13 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2004-08-16 | Won |
1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Lost |
1012 | 955 | 58% | 1998-11-20 | Won |
1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-02-18 | Lost |
866 | 1087 | 22% | 1998-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1009.6 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).