Mila 18
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 271 (53 on the archive and 218 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 145
Defender wins (Partisan (ZOB)): 125
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1187 | 1015 | 73% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-06-01 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
929 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
1159 | 929 | 79% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
1013 | 1178 | 28% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
956 | 977 | 47% | 2019-01-10 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1109 | 953 | 71% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1109 | 893 | 78% | 2017-03-16 | Won |
1013 | 955 | 58% | 2017-02-14 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-04-26 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
847 | 834 | 52% | 2015-10-18 | Lost |
1069 | 969 | 64% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1000 | 987 | 52% | 2015-04-11 | Won |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
1158 | 1085 | 60% | 2014-07-10 | Won |
1006 | 949 | 58% | 2014-04-13 | Lost |
959 | 1006 | 43% | 2014-02-02 | Lost |
1012 | 978 | 55% | 2013-08-18 | Tied |
1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2013-07-05 | Lost |
1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2013-07-03 | Won |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2012-10-24 | Won |
1012 | 919 | 63% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
952 | 919 | 55% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
997 | 1152 | 29% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
1197 | 1020 | 73% | 2012-07-14 | Lost |
926 | 1068 | 31% | 2012-04-23 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
1138 | 1115 | 53% | 2009-01-17 | Lost |
961 | 1006 | 44% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2007-01-22 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-05-18 | Won |
997 | 862 | 69% | 2005-04-20 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-11-16 | Lost |
1015 | 887 | 68% | 2004-11-13 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2004-08-16 | Won |
1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Lost |
1012 | 924 | 62% | 1998-11-20 | Won |
1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-02-18 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1011.8 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).