Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (6 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 903 | 1164 | 18% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 910 | 1052 | 31% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1186 | 48% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1255 | 1186 | 60% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1022 | 51% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1096.8 has a 42.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).