Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1159 | 52% | 2026-04-20 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2026-03-29 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2026-02-12 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1169 | 56% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-12-15 | Lost |
| 968 | 945 | 53% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1109.5 vs 1063.3 has a 56.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).