The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1279 | 14% | 2025-12-24 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1029 | 53% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1196 | 944 | 81% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1162 | 982 | 74% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 1058.5 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).