Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 940 | 63% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1275 | 1170 | 65% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1164 | 29% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1014 | 70% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1122 | 913 | 77% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1102.1 vs 1021.4 has a 61.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).