Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 976 | 80% | 2025-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1011 | 56% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 1024 | 940 | 62% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1220 | 1133 | 62% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 985 | 1227 | 20% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1068 | 63% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 967 | 904 | 59% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 949 | 70% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1089.8 vs 1021.7 has a 59.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).