Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2026-10-08 | A | Lost |
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2026-09-22 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2026-07-20 | D | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2026-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2026-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2026-05-13 | | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2026-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2026-04-26 | | Lost |
| 997 | 873 | 67% | 2026-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2026-04-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2026-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2026-02-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 1062 | 37% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1182 | 23% | 2026-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-01-07 | | Won |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2025-09-13 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1119 | 44% | 2025-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-26 | | Won |
| 952 | 1045 | 37% | 2025-08-24 | | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1005.2 vs 1020.8 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).