For the Fatherland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (12 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1038 | 49% | 2026-02-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-10-21 | Won |
| 1198 | 738 | 93% | 2025-10-20 | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 1083 | 27% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2025-09-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2025-09-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 965 | 69% | 2025-07-20 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1036 | 43% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1007.3 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).