Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 937 | 1080 | 31% | 2025-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1241 | 46% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1241 | 46% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 928 | 1080 | 29% | 2025-10-05 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-08-09 | | Won |
| 975 | 1036 | 41% | 2025-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1113.3 has a 40.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).