An Even Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2025-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1119 | 72% | 2025-06-18 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1231 | 28% | 2025-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1001 | 53% | 2024-12-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1133.5 has a 41.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).