Death of the Porcupine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 1
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1026 | 69% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 958.7 has a 61.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).