The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (British): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 984 | 51% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 885 | 900 | 48% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1156 | 899 | 81% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1170 | 1164 | 51% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1099 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1201 | 54% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 973 | 1151 | 26% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 988 | 855 | 68% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1306 | 999 | 85% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 868 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1230 | 966 | 82% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1018 | 60% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1016.1 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).