Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1149 | 63% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1040 | 76% | 2025-12-28 | | Won |
| 956 | 1197 | 20% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 872 | 84% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1197 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1197 | 981 | 78% | 2025-02-02 | | Won |
| 864 | 1000 | 31% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2024-11-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1205 | 41% | 2024-10-24 | | Won |
| 954 | 1076 | 33% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1076 | 33% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1153 | 36% | 2024-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1060.7 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).