St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 763 | 84% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1202 | 32% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 1113 | 29% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 968 | 1025 | 42% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1179 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1025 | 45% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 984.7 vs 1035.4 has a 42.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).