St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1055 | 53% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 932 | 948 | 48% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 877 | 877 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 854 | 994 | 31% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1101 | 57% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 948 | 948 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 991.6 vs 997 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).