Bridge Over the River Queen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 18
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 923 | 56% | 2025-02-05 | Won |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1208 | 1089 | 66% | 2025-01-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1055 | 53% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 907 | 892 | 52% | 2024-09-26 | Won |
| 820 | 834 | 48% | 2024-09-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 794 | 78% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1143 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1114 | 39% | 2024-05-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2024-03-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1084 | 51% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 997.8 has a 54.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).