Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (13 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 33
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1055 | 52% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 994 | 70% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1042 | 65% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 801 | 1063 | 18% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 907 | 982 | 39% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1108 | 1274 | 28% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1055 | 966 | 63% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2024-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1026.2 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).