To The Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1108 | 34% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 964 | 994 | 46% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2024-11-25 | Won |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1017 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).