East Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 780 | 78% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2025-09-11 | Won |
| 1316 | 1263 | 58% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 997 | 986 | 52% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 916 | 1079 | 28% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1076 | 60% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.5 vs 1051.3 has a 53.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).