Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (18 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1161 | 35% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1126 | 30% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1149 | 43% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1098 | 65% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1050 | 40% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 860 | 73% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1024 | 70% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 1149 | 28% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 933 | 61% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1013 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1048.8 has a 54.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).