Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (22 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-09-29 | | Won |
| 1234 | 1017 | 78% | 2025-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1004 | 78% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2025-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2024-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-08-02 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1055 | 43% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 1047 | 907 | 69% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1242 | 26% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-10-26 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-10-19 | | Lost |
| 850 | 977 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1073 | 53% | 2023-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1029.8 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).