Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1014 | 43% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 972 | 1149 | 27% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 875 | 68% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1047 | 49% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 756 | 74% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 941 | 70% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 945 | 62% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1047 | 864 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1180 | 1001 | 74% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 990.7 has a 58.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).