Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
978 | 941 | 55% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
1055 | 1323 | 18% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
1009 | 961 | 57% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
1107 | 1159 | 43% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1171 | 1058 | 66% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
961 | 1001 | 44% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
851 | 872 | 47% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
932 | 989 | 42% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1008.8 vs 1038.4 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).