Breakthrough in the Arctic
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (21 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
954 | 978 | 47% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
1078 | 890 | 75% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
1048 | 1122 | 40% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-12-23 | Won |
982 | 1158 | 27% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1209 | 1311 | 36% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1141 | 1003 | 69% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
1211 | 926 | 84% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1135 | 1307 | 27% | 2023-06-10 | Tied |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
1040 | 993 | 57% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
1025 | 1307 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1398 | 1016 | 90% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
1092 | 1169 | 39% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2023-02-22 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-02-16 | Lost |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1063.1 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).