Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1198 | 20% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 994 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1076 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1198 | 1118 | 61% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1346 | 15% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1028 | 46% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1070 | 65% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1146 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1070 | 34% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 698 | 80% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1081.4 has a 44.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).