Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1064 | 1046 | 53% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1055 | 52% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1218 | 948 | 83% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 994 | 1273 | 17% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 1027 | 40% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1110 | 36% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1035 | 53% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 937 | 1094 | 29% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 987 | 1022 | 45% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 948 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 954 | 809 | 70% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 982 | 71% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1038.3 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).