Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Slovakian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 1160 | 34% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
1160 | 991 | 73% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
986 | 1261 | 17% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
1042 | 1041 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
977 | 866 | 65% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
987 | 989 | 50% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
964 | 984 | 47% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1043.3 has a 47.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).