Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (23 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German (SS)): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1151 | 901 | 81% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
1038 | 864 | 73% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
864 | 1033 | 27% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
1278 | 1176 | 64% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
1302 | 1405 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
918 | 1080 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
1176 | 990 | 74% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
975 | 1176 | 24% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
1002 | 1040 | 45% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
938 | 1159 | 22% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
938 | 1037 | 36% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
839 | 845 | 49% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
1087 | 1208 | 33% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
989 | 901 | 62% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
1278 | 1008 | 83% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
1176 | 1037 | 69% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1069.8 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).