Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1148 | 67% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1310 | 1400 | 37% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 919 | 1064 | 30% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1148 | 944 | 76% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 920 | 1132 | 23% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 948 | 46% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 837 | 837 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1055 | 47% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1055 | 907 | 70% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1035 | 1222 | 25% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1273 | 994 | 83% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1062 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).