Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1045 | 37% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
1020 | 943 | 61% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1035 has a 49.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).