Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1164 | 31% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 982 | 937 | 56% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 917 | 68% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 952 | 978 | 46% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1400 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1310 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1310 | 23% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 952 | 1098 | 30% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 1063 | 61% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1133 | 1287 | 29% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 920 | 1050 | 32% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 937 | 67% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1071 | 39% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1108 | 38% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1104.3 has a 41.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).