Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 977 | 51% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
1181 | 1360 | 26% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
1245 | 1307 | 41% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1048 | 1307 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
989 | 1138 | 30% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
986 | 1098 | 34% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
1070 | 1063 | 51% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
951 | 1327 | 10% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
1004 | 940 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1168 | 1060 | 65% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1058 | 929 | 68% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
1046 | 1017 | 54% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1017 | 1088 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1114.6 has a 40.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).