One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (18 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1023 | 28% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 755 | 1203 | 7% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 921 | 1058 | 31% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 959 | 62% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 1126 | 35% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 904 | 1008 | 35% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 845 | 1051 | 23% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1158 | 30% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1061 | 1038 | 53% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1158 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 986.5 vs 1053.2 has a 40.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).