One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (18 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1022 | 41% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 765 | 1218 | 7% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 968 | 1107 | 31% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1022 | 898 | 67% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1147 | 35% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 994 | 52% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 796 | 920 | 33% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1183 | 28% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 948 | 55% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1062 | 49% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1077 | 1040 | 55% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1077 | 1020 | 58% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1185 | 1183 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1052.1 has a 42.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).