One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (14 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 929 | 62% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
1047 | 1102 | 42% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
1006 | 1155 | 30% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
908 | 941 | 45% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
851 | 1040 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
791 | 1117 | 13% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
961 | 1001 | 44% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
1026 | 1214 | 25% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
982 | 934 | 57% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
1058 | 1056 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
1209 | 1214 | 49% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 996.6 vs 1055.5 has a 41.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).