Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1136 | 27% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1059 | 58% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1121 | 50% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1027 | 56% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1276 | 37% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 999 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 950 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1118 | 27% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 982 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 923 | 1127 | 24% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1063 | 55% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1100 | 54% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1180 | 51% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 780 | 76% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 904 | 70% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 902 | 910 | 49% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1065.3 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).