Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1293 | 21% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
1177 | 1129 | 57% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
1030 | 1069 | 44% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
1311 | 1287 | 53% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
954 | 1035 | 39% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
1056 | 1169 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
952 | 1177 | 21% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1048 | 1019 | 54% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1192 | 1073 | 66% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
1051 | 929 | 67% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
1073 | 1092 | 47% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
1048 | 1028 | 53% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
1138 | 960 | 74% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
1003 | 857 | 70% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
943 | 906 | 55% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
1033 | 1252 | 22% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1087.8 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).