Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1293 | 27% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1120 | 61% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 765 | 1218 | 7% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1273 | 50% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1007 | 1034 | 46% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1040 | 920 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 1200 | 18% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1077 | 966 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1108 | 35% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 937 | 68% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1094 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1028 | 57% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 953 | 68% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1274 | 37% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1103 | 880 | 78% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 937 | 908 | 54% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1035 | 1222 | 25% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1067.9 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).