Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1137 | 27% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1064 | 62% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1003 | 54% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1278 | 42% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 999 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 930 | 81% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1015 | 55% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1131 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 1128 | 24% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1068 | 54% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1101 | 54% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1046 | 51% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1009 | 45% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1220 | 48% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1061 | 62% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 890 | 69% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1025 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050 vs 1067 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).