Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 948 | 52% | 2026-05-02 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1129 | 62% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2023-02-22 | Won |
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2022-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1066.6 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).