The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 1
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
1168 | 1173 | 49% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
916 | 1055 | 31% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1082.2 has a 39.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).