Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Eritrean): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2026-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-08-27 | | Won |
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 2023-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1098 | 38% | 2022-07-02 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.4 vs 1040.1 has a 44.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).