Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 1195 | 24% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 1195 | 19% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1076 | 997 | 61% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 986 | 1072 | 38% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 955 | 1052 | 36% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1103.5 has a 35.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).