The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1025 | 1063 | 45% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
992 | 1044 | 43% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1033 | 1188 | 29% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1126.4 has a 35.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).