The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
1133 | 1103 | 54% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1015 | 1138 | 33% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1049.2 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).