The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1018 | 47% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1038 | 37% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1066 has a 41.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).