First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (4 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 30
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1016 | 60% | 2024-03-30 | Tied |
989 | 1057 | 40% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
989 | 1056 | 40% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 995.8 vs 1014.5 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).