A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1154 | 968 | 74% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1225 | 957 | 82% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 998 | 922 | 61% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1007 | 57% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1208 | 1238 | 46% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1208 | 21% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1054.9 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).