A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2025-05-18 | D | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2022-07-07 | | Won |
| 949 | 1226 | 17% | 2022-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1000 | 84% | 2022-03-18 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-03-05 | | Won |
| 1013 | 949 | 59% | 2022-02-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1014 | 56% | 2022-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2021-10-10 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1057.7 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).