Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (33 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1046 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 1319 | 1264 | 58% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 995 | 57% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 876 | 88% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1191 | 54% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1206 | 988 | 78% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 874 | 60% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1063 | 67% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 992 | 69% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 941 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1029 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1160 | 1098 | 59% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1206 | 1139 | 60% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 921 | 1064 | 31% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1169 | 53% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1052 | 54% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1028.7 has a 59.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).