Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1138 | 30% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
1160 | 989 | 73% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
1124 | 929 | 75% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
961 | 899 | 59% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
1088 | 971 | 66% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
991 | 961 | 54% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
1225 | 1168 | 58% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
1001 | 1012 | 48% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
1007 | 1028 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1197 | 1026 | 73% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
1160 | 1279 | 34% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
1160 | 1045 | 66% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
1197 | 1169 | 54% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
1079 | 1049 | 54% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
990 | 1087 | 36% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1044.9 has a 51.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).