Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1024 | 52% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1098 | 35% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1024 | 82% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 896 | 1216 | 14% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1282 | 734 | 96% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1137 | 52% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1024.8 has a 57.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).