Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 999 | 56% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1095 | 35% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 900 | 1220 | 14% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1206 | 750 | 93% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1191 | 31% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1018.4 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).