Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1110 | 33% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1007 | 77% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 926 | 1274 | 12% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1218 | 765 | 93% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1183 | 50% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.5 vs 1036.6 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).