Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
988 | 1122 | 32% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
1159 | 935 | 78% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
940 | 1330 | 10% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
1159 | 784 | 90% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
980 | 1081 | 36% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1209 | 1214 | 49% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1068.6 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).