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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 959 | 60% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 765 | 1181 | 8% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1336 | 33% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1035 | 1222 | 25% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1192 | 44% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 921 | 50% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1099.1 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).