Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
985 | 977 | 51% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
1143 | 1191 | 43% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
1169 | 982 | 75% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
1169 | 982 | 75% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
1195 | 1141 | 58% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1107.9 vs 1045 has a 58.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).