The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (19 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1022 | 857 | 72% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
1129 | 1019 | 65% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
1068 | 993 | 61% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
1078 | 1073 | 51% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
1169 | 1019 | 70% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
1252 | 1033 | 78% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
943 | 1091 | 30% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
973 | 979 | 49% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
911 | 977 | 41% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
1283 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1307 | 906 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
985 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
1302 | 1147 | 71% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1029.7 has a 58.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).