The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (14 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 942 | 55% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
778 | 1249 | 6% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
962 | 1103 | 31% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
817 | 1110 | 16% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1087 | 1010 | 61% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1087 | 1011 | 61% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1015.9 vs 1066.4 has a 42.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).