The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 942 | 54% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
811 | 1212 | 9% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
982 | 1168 | 26% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
976 | 1088 | 34% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
963 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
816 | 1104 | 16% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1137 | 1025 | 66% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1137 | 1010 | 68% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 995 vs 1061.3 has a 40.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).