The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 947 | 49% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 750 | 1206 | 7% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 999 | 49% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 924 | 983 | 42% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1195 | 41% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1023 | 57% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1064 | 63% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1042.4 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).