Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (22 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 982 | 52% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 913 | 865 | 57% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 967 | 73% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1066 | 43% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1017 | 78% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1421 | 1234 | 75% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1019 | 43% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 750 | 1206 | 7% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1046 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 983 | 1138 | 29% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1191 | 27% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1191 | 900 | 84% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1134 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1158 | 45% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 1077 | 41% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1162 | 1030 | 68% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1056.5 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).