Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (19 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 867 | 52% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1091 | 39% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1025 | 84% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1063 | 48% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 765 | 1181 | 8% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1058 | 42% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1087 | 1139 | 43% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1184 | 36% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1184 | 926 | 82% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1022 | 1216 | 25% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1216 | 25% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1147 | 49% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1072 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1030 | 52% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1061.8 has a 48.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).