Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (18 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
857 | 865 | 49% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1025 | 84% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1069 | 1069 | 50% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
1005 | 1032 | 46% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
1141 | 926 | 78% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
985 | 1283 | 15% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
985 | 1283 | 15% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
1090 | 815 | 83% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1064 | 1046 | 53% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1056.3 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).