Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (21 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1058 | 40% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
1012 | 1095 | 38% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
1176 | 1120 | 58% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
1000 | 1171 | 27% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
1017 | 1144 | 32% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1037 | 1017 | 53% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
1052 | 1011 | 56% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
1104 | 991 | 66% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
1160 | 1138 | 53% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
816 | 1109 | 16% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1028.1 vs 1048.7 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).