Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 981 | 50% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
985 | 1058 | 40% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
1018 | 1090 | 40% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
1075 | 1071 | 51% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
1141 | 1120 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
982 | 1169 | 25% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
1025 | 1177 | 29% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
1018 | 1032 | 48% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1048 | 1025 | 53% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
1074 | 1011 | 59% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
1107 | 1003 | 65% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
1211 | 1137 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
815 | 1109 | 16% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1046.1 has a 50.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).