The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (28 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 56
Defender wins (Russian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 1107 | 33% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
969 | 1111 | 31% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
1141 | 969 | 73% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
875 | 865 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
936 | 947 | 48% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
1248 | 1307 | 42% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
1103 | 987 | 66% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
1135 | 1028 | 65% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
1307 | 1040 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1034 | 1049 | 48% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
1040 | 1011 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
1000 | 1154 | 29% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
1289 | 1072 | 78% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
1123 | 1072 | 57% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
1110 | 817 | 84% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
1151 | 1249 | 36% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1050 | 1040 | 51% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
966 | 909 | 58% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1040.3 has a 55.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).