Aussie Alamo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Australian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2026-07-20 | | Lost |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2024-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-11-19 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2021-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-10-03 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1136 | 28% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1138 | 64% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-07-13 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1065.6 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).